On moral YouTube*: Is the Internet our new teacher, parent, and pastor?

A university soccer player’s reprehensible fouling becomes an instant Youtube hit. Reality show villains are the topic of “did you see…” discussions the next day at workplaces all over. The actions of ball players and politicians, pop stars and actors, on and off stage or field or legislative floor, become the stuff of moral outrage. They also become the stuff of moral lessons: for adults and for children.

The video above, just one version of dozens of the incident, got 2.4 million views on YouTube.
 
We used to share moral lessons through stories: “the boy who cried wolf” and so on. More and more, it’s up to real and fictional characters in modern entertainment, to instruct us through their actions.
 
And with Youtube and other social places on the Internet, the choices of what moral lessons to share and emphasize are in the hands of crowds. Do we vote by viewing? By sharing or linking? It’s not a pastor with a parable who is teaching us through moral stories, it’s a Facebook friend or an officemate, sharing a link.
 
What may be the biggest change in this is the directness of the connection between people and stories: instead of a pastor, an editor, or an author intervening, what gains widest viewing is what gets the most buzz, and gets to us.
 
We don’t yet know what it all adds up to. Is it a good mechanism for forming and strengthening our cultural and social norms? Or does it weaken them? We may never know–it will be hard to tease out the effects with all the other changes in society. No matter what, we’d better understand what people are seeing and sharing, even if it means dipping into new media, and following the trails of buzz where they lead.
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*this title rips off the title of John Gardner’s 1978 book, On Moral Fiction, which offers a detailed argument about how and why fiction, in particular, and the arts, in general should assert morals.

Beatles 3000: Looking forward, looking backward

 
The Beatles: A View from 3000
The video linked here is a spoof of several things: TV documentaries, cultural and historical analysis, archaeology, and “experts” generally. It’s silly and fun, using a view of the Beatles from 1000 years hence, to poke its fun.
 
The satire here can help us think about what we are doing when we study the past or the future. In either case, we have lots of information and insights to draw on, and lots of ways to get things wrong. The view backward of the Beatles, from 1,000 years out, leads to funny mistakes, but plenty of truth too. This is what we are doing whether we study history or the future. We cannot get everything right, but we can understand something.
 
The mistakes we are likely to make include:
 
Collapsing time: from a distance, a decade or two “goes away” but at the time those decades separated things enough that one phenomena (opera) and another (early Rock) can get mixed up.
 
Misinterpreting material things: showing how easy it is to attach different meaning, or impute different motives to something, based on what we think or feel, or based on a different understanding of what is significant. Similar to this is David MacCauley’s book, Motel of Mysteries, in which a future archaeological team discovers the “throne room” in the hotel, centering on the commode.
 
Getting the emphasis wrong: What mattered more seen as less important, and vice versa. The clues we find about the past can unbalance our thinking, and so can the incomplete view we will always have of the future.
 
So, how funny are our forecasts? How laughably wrong are we? Are we creating satire and we don’t know it? We can’t know that now, but most importantly, we are better off for exploring the future, and getting things wrong, than not exploring it at all.
 
Thanks to my son, for sharing this with me. He knew it would be at least a lot of fun for me, and that I’d be interested as a futurist and a former archaeologist.
 
Note: yes, that's NBA player Scottie Pippin pictured as one of the Fab Four. They get songwriter credit for Battle Hymn of the Republic, too!

Oh my god, Fr*d is soooo annoying!

[NOTE: Because so many people, looking for the Fr*d videos, have been drawn here via a web search, I have edited the post to reduce it’s hit rate via Google and other search engines. An asterisk replaces the letter "e" in Fr*d’s name. jbmahaffie, April 1, 2009.]

Fr*d is the YouTube character of a Nebraska teenager, Lucas Cruikshank. I came across his videos because they kept turning up under Most Viewed or Most Popular on Youtube. Most viewed doesn’t make the content of a video valid or even viewable, but in my view, it makes it important to know about. His 19 videos have a combined view total of over 4 million, and Fr*d’s YouTube channel has 290,762 subscribers, the 4th highest total on YouTube. Fr*d, YouTube Star A few weeks ago, while giving a talk I nicknamed "Environmental Scanning 2.0," I was advocating that good scanning includes knowing what the mass of people are watching and liking. That means tv shows you might not like or even approve of. It means what’s hot on YouTube too. One attendee pushed back hard on this, telling me that there was no way she was going to waste her time watching the drivel on YouTube. I thought I had made my case, but stated it again, and got some support from others there. I said that no matter what you think aesthetically or intellectually about the content, it may help you understand your society better. The Fr*d videos are kind-of awful, but strangely interesting. I think they are interesting because, even though they are silly satire, they may represent a modern teen’s ideas about life, family, and society. I have a teen, so I’ve become acutely interested in that. So steel yourself, and go watch a Fr*d video. Hate it, love it, but surely know about it. Fred’s video channel is here.

Update: Please see also this special page on environmental scanning.

Scanning the landscape for challenges, issues, trends, and opportunities

Environmental scanning is the ongoing review of information sources that is integral to identifying trends and monitoring for leading-edge change. To some people who don’t do environmental scanning, it looks like a lot of web surfing and magazine reading—a distraction or waste of time.

How can it be a good use of time? It’s open-ended. Yet futurists urge people in organizations to do more of it. Can business executives really afford to spend that time? What does it yield?

Environmental scanning is a perfectly good fun, and continually interesting, especially since a big portion of it is often driven by one’s interests. But the scanner is left with a little angst—what to do with the stuff? Should I print it out and file it? Should I blog about it? Should I tell someone? Is there some way to collect the good stuff and make it useful?

In fact, the act of scanning can be as loose as it often is, without being ineffective or inefficient. Scanning builds context for one’s thinking about the future. The more accumulated clues, cues, and knowledge you have, the better the chance that analysis and decisions will be properly thought through, tested against existing and emerging realities, and informed by a broad range of contextual forces and factors.

But yes, you should make something of your discoveries. Environmental scanning helps ensure that you get earlier notice of emerging change—issues, trends, and new challenges that may come from beyond your current view, especially from outside your field or sector. It may prevent you from finding out about something critical from a customer, a vendor, or even from a crisis.

A scanning discovery is not of any use until you put it to use so consider these ideas:

  • Drawing a conclusion about what you find for your work. Write it down. You are converting a raw observation into something that may lead to action, a change of direction, a decision to monitor something further, etc.
  • Keeping a “commonplace book”—a note taking place for your discoveries and observations. If you are a good trend spotter, you can log the trends you are observing or discovering. A list of leading edge trends is a powerful tool to draw out for a team discussion, to test ideas, ensure you are thinking comprehensively about a problem or opportunity. Maybe for you this would work as a daily or weekly blog, so colleagues can share your discoveries.
  • Telling your colleagues—one or more people who really should know about what you found. We are glad to share funny YouTube videos, but seem less practiced at sharing a discovered trends, a thought-provoking blog, a story that shapes our understanding of the marketplace.
  • Sharing your discoveries by email/listserve/blog and ask for comment. You might be the right person to “report” on trends and issues this way. If the messages are provocative and suitably well-labeled, you might get ongoing interest. Does your organization have a trend person? Could you take up that role? It might only require a few minutes a week to do that.
  • Using scanning discoveries to provoke dialogue—send a note, for example, that says: “I am seeing a lot of things suggesting a backlash against bottle water—do you think this will come to a head and affect our closures business?”

Update: Please see also this special page on environmental scanning.

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