The weaknesses and threats of SWOT analysis

Used in the typical way, SWOT analysis can do more harm than good. Why? Because the tool too easily forces thinking that ignores the future.

Using the four SWOT categories; strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats is a recipe, if you don’t take care, for a firm focus on the present. It gives you an organizational assessment, at best.

Typically, a group sits down with flip charts or white boards and inventories the organization’s strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats.

And typically, the group has the immediate concerns of the organization foremost in its mind.

  • The strengths are those that have, for the past while, made or kept the organization strong, or should have.
  • The weaknesses are those things that are keeping the organization from prevailing or growing as it would like to in the past and today.
  • The opportunities are things about the current marketplace that suggest there could be more growth and other successes, if only the organization took advantage of them.
  • The threats are things that are freaking people in the organization out right now: who, or what is going to get them, to eat their lunch.
That present day focus is limiting, it fails to account enough for a changing world.

What to do about this

Modify SWOTs to be sure it pushes the view into your future, at least ten years out. Define the elements like this:

Strengths — What attributes of the organization will help us face the changes shaping our business over the next ten years?

Weaknesses — What are gaps and insufficiencies in our skills, organization, financial position, technology, etc. that could dampen our success over the next ten years?

Opportunities — What new areas of growth, development, alliance, expansion, etc. could we take advantage of in the coming decade and beyond?

Threats — What and who could challenge us over the next decade, putting our business, our current market share, etc. at risk?

Reworking SWOT analysis this way will make it a powerful tool for exploring your future, and get you beyond presentist thinking.

The promise of foresight

 

"We never get together like this"

 

It is my privilege and delight to regularly be a part of workshops and gatherings in organizations focused on exploring the future and looking for new business opportunities. One of the things that happens at so many of these events is that people talk about how great it is that they have spent time thinking beyond their day-to-day concerns. They never do that.

They say it’s great to sit down with people from across the organization—out of their “silos”. They never do that, either. They come away happy, enthusiastic, and energized. That happens even if they have discovered tough new challenges and risks that they face.

That is the promise of foresight, done well and with the right people. That’s why you should do it. It leads you to have conversations you don’t normally have, with people you may not engage with enough, about a longer term future.

The other benefits and rationales for exploring the future are real, and valuable. But just getting the conversation started is where you begin to reach for the promise that engaging your future offers you. 

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