10 years of blogging about foresight

In October 2007, I started this blog. I had pent-up ideas to share about foresight. Over 10 years, I’ve posted 236 times. 

Has it been valuable? Plenty of readers benefited. But I know I gained the most. Thinking through and writing the posts let me to refine how I communicate about foresight. And I know that better communication fueled others’ interest and work.

Creating the posts also prepared me for teaching and advising organizations on foresight: its power, its essentialness, and how people can do it with the constraints they face in their organizations.

Foresightculture turned out to be about 95% about the processes of foresight and 5% about “what is the future?” The “how” was a natural fit for me and was where I had the most interest in sharing my thinking.

Blogging clarified for me how I think about foresight, and evolved in tandem with my sense of the role I play as a futurist. That role today is more about being the guide to how to change minds and understand change than it is foreseer of the future. When I sit with others to help them, I’m first and foremost there to help them change how they think.

Here are some insights from the ten years:

  1. In foresight, it is the journey that matters, not the forecast, report, or briefing at the end.
  2. Foresight is about changing minds. What you change them to may be critical for you, but the first order of business is unlocking people’s thinking.
  3. My readers are often alone in their quest for clarity on the future. They need allies and they need techniques.
  4. Foresight seems difficult and mysterious to people. People want grab-and-go tools and instructions, not theory. That has made my posts on environmental scanning, SWOTs analysis, and scenarios “best sellers” on my blog.
  5. People want to visualize what foresight is, what it means, and how it’s done. They gain from simple, draw-it-on-the-nearest-whiteboard doodles that give people an “ah ha!”. My favorite is “The Mother of All Futures Diagrams“.
  6. People like “listicles”. They know that they will get something pared down to essentials from posts like “6 Foresight Hacks” or “8 things leaders should know about strategic foresight“.
  7. There is no one-size-fits-all explanation or approach to foresight. I write about the same things again and again. Why? Because as I lead workshops, and have conversations, and read and ponder, I discover new angles to come at the same concepts. Someone who didn’t find the last one useful, may find the new one lights them up.

So I will keep going. If I learn and others learn too, it’s well worth what is pleasurable time spent.

Thank you for reading.

ForesightCulture’s top 12 posts of 2011

Of the 41 posts to ForesightCulture during 2011, the 12 below got the most visitors. The list reflects my main focus: the art and craft of exploring the future. Two posts got particularly personal for futurists, and drew a lot of interest from people in the field:

“I am a futurist, leave off the quote marks” and “A typology of futurists”

Just one post on the “content” side, i.e. about the future, made it in too, a 2021 scenario of a shopper.

Here are the top posts for 2011 in order:

  1. Get comfortable with complexity — How we have to fight the tendency to explain change as have a single cause, and embrace that things are complex: many forces, interacting.
  2. Foresight tool: A simple scanning technique to open up your thinking — A simple tool for triggering more and deeper thinking in your environmental scanning.
  3. I am a futurist. Leave off the quote marks! — Why futurist is a genuine profession. How futurists bring value. An argument to leave off the air quotes when you talk about futurists.
  4. A typology of futurists — Musing over different “types” of futurists; what they do and why it’s powerful.
  5. 5 critical things in foresight — The five things you must have for foresight: a purpose, a mindset, a habit, a toolkit, and a community.
  6. The short-term view and the long-term view — How we need to acknowledge, but not limit our thinking to, people’s immediate, near-term concerns.
  7. Foresight illustrated: Choosing how broad a view to take when exploring the future — A visual model for exploring “what future?” and how far into the future you should look (your time horizon).
  8. Get comfortable with uncertainty — How you have to tolerate uncertainty, and help others do so, when you explore your future.
  9. Offsetting your suburban, middle class, white collar bias — Ways to relieve the biases you may bring to looking at the future by getting out and seeing how things are made.
  10. A 2021 shopper’s path to purchase — A scenario of a possible 2021 consumer experience: the consumer’s path the purchase, enabled by technology.
  11. 9 things that “lock us in” in our thinking — Nine ways our thinking is narrowed, clouded, or misguided, and some advice on what to do about it.
  12. Experiencing the future Part 1: Getting beyond analysis and changing minds — Comparing the problems of the historian/archaeologist and futurist in getting people to deeper understanding, and a call for the experiential in foresight.

Thanks to all my readers for their interest this year. Have a terrific holiday season and a happy new year.

ForesightCulture.com: at one year old, what readers have liked

Foresight CultureForesightCulture.com is now one year old. I launched this blog as a place to share insights on using foresight successfully. I write it for people in organizations, not for the community of professional futurists, but gratifyingly, my futurist colleagues have read and commented (positively) on my work here too.

Aside from the “who I am” and “contact” pages here, the top posts/pages of interest to readers over the year of the blog’s life are as follows:

  1. 27 habits of highly successful futurists (a special page of “best practices” for people trying to get futures thinking through to their organizations)
  2. Scanning the landscape for challenges, issues, and opportunities
  3. Quotes (a special page of quotes that inspire me, and that relate to foresight)
  4. Ask the right questions
  5. Talk to the frog
  6. Environmental scanning, Flickr, YouTube, and photoblogs
  7. The power of the paleo future
  8. Oh my god, Fr*d is soooo annoying!
  9. Why I love introducing scenario thinking  to people           
  10. Considering different environmental scanning approaches
  11. Environmental scanning  (a special page on environmental scanning in the Internet age)
  12. Looking at the world through a different lens
  13. Reframers (a special page on some of the thinkers who successfully reorient our thinking on the world and the systems we are part of)
  14. All futures are global
  15. Is environmental scanning just one more chore?  

How-to thoughts have proven popular (and I hope useful) to my readers, and environmental scanning is at the center of that. Some of the thinking grew from post ideas to special blog features, and those pages: "Envrionmental scanning," "Quotes," "Reframers," and the "27 habits of highly successful futurists" have been especially popular.

Thanks to everyone who has read my work here a little or a lot, who has tried to get some value from it, and who has shared their own insights with me. It has been, and will be my privilege and joy to keep ForesightCulture going a while longer. Let me know, please, if there are things you think I ought to write about.

A blog about foresight

This blog is by John Mahaffie of Leading Futurists LLC. I have been working as a professional futurist since the mid-1980s. Over the years, working with Jennifer Jarratt, I have built up a wide range of experience in exploring the future as a researcher and analyst, as a teacher and workshop leader, and as a consultant, working to guide others in exploring the future.

Drawing on that depth and breadth of experience, I want to share my insights with others on better ways to explore the future, understand what is possible and probable in our future, and connect those insights to strategy and action in organizations.

This blog is my place for sharing my ideas about that. I look forward to a dialogue with you about your experiences and we welcome your ideas, comments, critiques, questions, and suggestions. Use the comments feature here, or drop me a line.

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